Firstly, I am
beginning to like a team in Germany. In the first leg against Dortmund, they
showcased to us a wonderful stadium, immersed in yellow, filled with vociferous
fans chanting away. Their fans did not disappoint at the Emirates, as well,
creating a wonderful atmosphere. BVB has an exciting team, with a solid defense
and a team that can match toe to toe with any club in Europe on their day in
attack. Jurgen Klopp looks to me like a coach to look out for. Arsene is
talking short term about two years of his contract being left. Jurgen Klopp
looks like a young manager who runs a tight budget and knows to manage a team
of kids. You run the Math and tell me what I am thinking! A quick comment on
three players that caught my eye in this BVB side. Kagawa, Hummels and Goetze.
I wont be surprised to see them plying their trade in one of the top leagues
soon. Hope we do get our hands on Goetze, though! Once Theo moves to the
centre, he looks to me to the perfect right winger to play at that position.
But firstly, it
is a time to showcase immense pride. Qualifying out of this group looked a task
when the draw was made. But qualifying top of the group with a game to spare
shows the kind of recovery that this team has shown. I can hardly pick on any
performance yesterday. While the mainstream lazy media would again talk of Van
Persie, it would be foolish to ignore the contribution the rest of the team is
making. RVP is putting his chances away and has been phenomenal. But the team
is giving him the chance to score authentic striker’s goals. I would be worried
if Van Persie is beating three defenders and going on solo runs to score all
his goals. But, thankfully, such a need has not arisen. The team has created
chances and offered to him on a platter. If by that definition, Arsenal is a
one man team, I think I know of atleast two more “one-man” teams called Real
Madrid and Barcelona. The other The other reason that this one man team chant
has increased amongst lazy journalists is that there has been equally strong
contributions from the majority of the team in this mini-run that we are in.
All players are standing up and giving an 8/10 performance. Last few years,
most games would have some players at 9/10 and some at 5/10. This year, I do not see any passengers in
the team. Everyone is contributing in their own way. Ramsey regularly puts
in a through ball that opens up a defense or makes a telling late run. Song has
been ever present as the shield. Walcott and Gervinho have added a dimension
with their directness. Arteta has given a solidity to the midfield that has
long been missed. Koscielny and Vermaelen have been immense. Santos and
Mertesacker (barring the crazy blip against Norwich) have been growing with
every game. Szescesny and Van Persie have not been that bad, as well, have
they?
From what I see of the Champions League tables, this
is how it looks like the teams that would qualify.
|
Group toppers
|
Runner
ups
|
|
Munich
|
Napoli
|
|
Inter
Milan
|
Lille
|
|
Benfica
|
Man U
|
|
Real
Madrid
|
Ajax
|
|
Leverkusen
|
Chelsea
|
|
Arsenal
|
Marseille
|
|
Barca
|
AC Milan
|
|
APOEL
|
Porto
|
Amidst all the
vicarious joy, my fellow Gooners have enjoyed in the misfortunes of the other
English teams, it does affect us a little bit. From this above table, AC Milan
and Napoli look like the teams to avoid when the draw is made. If United and
Chelsea had done their job properly, a probability of landing this unfavourable
draw was 28% (2 teams to avoid out of 7 possible opponents). But United and
Chelsea threaten to potentially finish second, which would mean the probability
of a bad draw increases to 40% (2 teams out of 5 possible opponents). Not good
at all. I hear you Arsenal fans cry out if they qualify third then we would be
back to our 28%. I guess so. But United would surely qualify and City would
surely go out. Chelsea is a 50-50. We drew Barcelona last year and gave them a
proper run for their money till a referee got irked with us for daring to
compete with Barca. So bring on the draw, and we are ready for the lot!
2 comments:
Shouldn't it be Bad draw probability of 4/7 or 56%? Napoli, ManUre, Chelshite, and Milan?
:)
Nice one...
Dude, we can't draw clubs from the same country in the next round.. If we could draw teams then the probability of drawing teams would have been same irrespective...
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